The winner came eighth
The Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe was run at Longchamp this afternoon. One Sunday in October, perhaps fourteen, maybe fifteen years ago, I won money on that race.
My gambling habit ran to £1 a week, my neighbour used to collect people’s football pools and I started spending 50p a week on the pools and 50p a week on a bet. “The Arc” was due to be run on the Sunday and on the Friday afternoon I picked out a horse from a good stable that I thought it might do well; it came eighth.
The following Friday, my neighbour called. “I have your winnings from Sunday”.
This was slightly baffling, I had heard of races where bookmakers paid out down to fourth place, but none would survive if they paid out money on horses coming eighth. “Are you sure that’s mine? My horse came nowhere”.
“You didn’t take ante-post odds”, he replied, “if you took the starting price then the French rules applied. It means your horse was coupled with another horse from the same stable. The stable companion won. If your horse had won you would have been cross because you wouldn’t have got the full odds on it; as they were coupled together, the odds were only 8-1. Anyway, here’s your £4.50”.
In retrospect, there seemed a sermon in the story, except, of course, one couldn’t really use betting on horses as a sermon illustration. There was potential for using it as a story of unlikely winners; of unexpected people sharing in the bounty; of there being more than one chance in life. It could serve as an illustration about making the wrong assumptions about outcomes.
Perhaps it might also serve in making a point that nothing is pre-determined; that in a topsy-turvy world, to come eighth may be to win.
Tom Stoppard’s Rosencrantz and Guildernstern are Dead follows the line of Samuel Beckett’s Waiting for Godot in presenting life as something beyond the shaping of an individual:
ROSENCRANTZ: We’ve nothing wrong! We didn’t harm anyone. Did we?
GUILDENSTERN: I can’t remember.
(ROS pulls himself together.)
ROS: All right, then. I don’t care. I’ve had enough. To tell you the truth, I’m relieved.
(And he disappears from view.)
(GUIL does not notice.)
GUIL: Our names shouted in a certain dawn … a message … a summons… there must have been a moment, at the beginning, where we could have said-no. But somehow we missed it.
(He looks round and sees he is alone.)
Rosen–?
Guil–?
(He gathers himself.)
Well, we’ll know better next time. Now you see me, now you –
(And disappears.)
The English tutor at Sixth Form College would recite the words with passion, “Our names shouted in a certain dawn … a message … a summons”
It was hard to know what he was thinking at times: was he making a point about individual freedom, that there was no reason why they should accept their fate, or was he protesting about life being controlled by forces beyond our control?
In a world where one can win on a horse that came eighth, nothing is pre-determined. Perhaps there are unseen rules shaping our lives, but if one does not know those rules, and if they are open to arbitrary and sudden change, then any outcome might be possible.
All very mysterious. Sounds a bit like multi-member constituencies in a PR election. I think someone I voted for in Dublin got in on the eighth count, once upon a time. He went on to become a minister.
Or perhaps the parallel is more exact – politics, horse racing – neither famed for their transparency and incorruptibility.
I think I understood the rule in the end – it was to prevent a stable fixing a result if it had more than one horse in the race.
At the last General Election election in Dublin Central, Cyprian Brady came ninth with just 939 votes (one seventh of the quota for election), but managed to be elected to the fourth and final seat with huge transfers.
If there are rules governing our destinies they are so obscure and arbitrary that I think it’s safer to assume freewill than predestination.